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Hong Kong Economic Journal --- 23 Oct, 2000

British Pound

Today, we will take a look at the British Pound using Prosticks charting.

Figure 1 shows the Prosticks chart of the British Pound. Notice that bar A has a very long range and thus severe buying pressure had existed at the Modal Point. Its Modal Point is important. Notice also that the Modal Point of A has the same price as the Modal Point of B forming a Modal Platform. Next, consider the circled bars. For three days in a row, price attempts to challenge the Modal Platform. However, the Active Range ends up staying above the platform. Thus, it seems that the Modal Platform will act as a support for prices. If traders want to long the currency, they should put the stoploss below the Modal Platform. That is, when the Active Range or Modal Point stays below the platform, all long positions should be liquidated.

Alternatively, one may use a trendline approach to determine the entry point of longing the currency. Figure 2 shows the Modal line chart of the pound. As can be seen, we can use draw a resistance trendline L1 using the Modal Point of C and D. Traders could then long the currency only if the Modal Point breaks above the trendline. Refer to Figure 1 again, L2 is the traditional resistance trendline using the high points of C and D. As can be seen, the entry point of L1 is earlier than that of L2.

Notice the difference between Figure 1 and Figure 2. In Figure 1, price has tested the Modal Platform many times. The general price level resides near the Modal Platform. However, in Figure 2, we can observe that actually most Modal Points are well above the Modal Platform. The Modal line chart offers different perspective. It eliminates much noise and whipsaws from the charts.

Figure 1

Figure 2


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